Robinhood, Initial public offering, Valuation, Stock market EVEALS Their Sneaky Business Model… (Robinhood IPO Filing)

What this means is that, yes, robin hood is gearing up for their ipo, which is, of course, their initial public, offering. This is a process where a private company sells new shares to the general public for the first time and thus raises some juicy cash in the process, but why this s1 filing is so interesting is because there’s been a lot of criticism around robin hood’s business model. Recently and in the s1 form all cards get laid out on the table for all to see it’s. Basically, a document explaining everything that potential investors will need to know about that business. However it’s also about a million pages long but that’s. Why i’m, here so in this video we’re, going to look into exactly how robinhood is making their money and whether it’s a business that i think is worth following so let’s get started. This video is sponsored by hyper charts, sign up to hyper charts using the referral code, new money or use the referral link in the description and save 10 for your first year of hypercharts premium so robinhood they are gearing up for their ipo and are going to Be trading on the nasdaq under the ticker symbol, hood, so let’s have a look at their business, as you may or may not know. Their app looks like this. Whoopty do it’s a brokerage free trading app. You can buy stocks options and crypto and it costs you absolutely nothing notice anything wrong with that statement, here’s something to note about businesses that seem to provide a service for free it’s, not free, they’re, a business.

They need to make money and if you, the customer, aren’t giving them money, then guess what you’re, not the customer you’re the product, and that is true with robin hood’s business as well, which we’ll talk about a little bit in a second but robin hood. It is a company in essentially it’s in an explosive growth mode and check this out. There are now 18 million robin hood accounts, which is insane because if we rewind the clock just 12 months, they had just 7.2 million accounts how’s that for growth, pretty impressive. They also have 17.7 million people using robinhood at least once per month, which is up from 8.6 million people a year back and interestingly, if you add up all of the stock options, stock positions and crypto held by robin hood users, robinhood currently holds 80.9 billion of Assets on behalf of their users, meaning that the average robin hood user has a portfolio worth approximately four and a half thousand dollars in total. Now, in terms of business performance, total revenue in 2020 was 959 million versus 278 million in 2019, so enormous growth. There, however, operating expenses also grew to 945 million from 384 million in 2019 uh, so that left robin hood with a net income of 7.5 million in 2020, pretty much nothing, although much better than the negative 106 million, which was their 2019 net income. So it’s a business that’s early on you know growing fast and seemingly just getting to a profitable stage.

Now they have 1.4 billion dollars in the bank. Right now they have 10.8 billion in current assets, 8.8 billion. In current liabilities they have a current ratio of 1.2. They don’t have much in the long term sections of their balance sheets, so total assets and liabilities look much the same there. So they’re not in you know an enormous pickle or anything like that. They just want to raise some more money and fuel. This growth that they’re, seeing now one interesting statistic that they did provide in this s1 filing is the average revenue per customer, and i wanted to touch on this because then we can talk about exactly how robinhood makes their money. So in 2020, robin hood did not charge brokerage fees to their users. However, they generated 108.90 in revenue per user. This is up massively from 2019, where they generated 65.70 per user. So that begs the question: where the hell does this money come from? And finally, this is exactly what warren buffett wanted to read about in robin hood’s s1 filing have a listen to this. I do want to see how about how they handle the source of income when they they say they, they don’t charge the customer or anything. I mean you know uh uh. Oh, it should be interesting to watch out. Describe it, i mean but interesting indeed. So how do they explain it? Well, let’s have a look. They say our mission to democratize, finance for all drives our revenue model.

We pioneered commission free trading with no account minimums, giving smaller investors access to the financial markets. Many of our customers are getting started with less, which often means they’re trading. A smaller number of shares, rather than earning revenue from fixed trading commissions which, before robin hood introduced, commission free trading had ranged from you know, eight to ten dollars per trade. The majority of our revenue is earned through payment for order flow there. It is payment for order flow. So what is payment for order flow? Well, it’s, where you, as the broker don’t, actually execute the trades for your users. Instead, you sell the orders coming in on your platform to a market maker. Usually a big hedge fund and they’ll handle the execution for you, but why would the hedge funds pay you for the annoyance of having to execute your users trades well it’s, because if they see what’s coming in versus where the market is at, occasionally they can jump On the other side of your trade and make money might make it a little bit more expensive for you, but they don’t care. Now robin hood makes 75 of their revenue by selling order flow. Last year they sold 720 million in order flow. That’S 40 per user per year seems like a lot, and it is because here’s the thing robin hood gets paid much much more for their order flow than order flow coming in from other discount brokers. In fact, a 2018 seeking alpha report highlighted that robin hood was getting paid about 10 times more than their competitors for their order flow.

Why? Because robin hood order flow was so damn profitable. Firstly, the people trading on robin hood are complete noobs, i mean, even in this s1 filing robinhood states, that over 50 of robin hood users are first time investors and then. Secondly, the cherry on top is that robinhood’s default order type is a market order and to a high frequency trading firm that’s like a blank check, robin hood’s users. Basically saying you know: hey i’ve not really done this stocks thing before. Can you just buy me some tesla shares whatever the price is you know that line that goes up and down so yeah? No doubt robin hood users get taken to the absolute cleaners on market orders, but they don’t know and the hedge funds love it. No order flow like robinhood order flow, and, you might say well, come on brandon. This is surely illegal and yes, that is correct. These third parties must follow the national best bid and offer regulation, but well let’s, just say citadel. Who is a massive buyer of order? Flow from robin hood was fined 22 million dollars by the sec in 2017 for yep violating securities laws, so that is 75 of robin hood’s business of that payment for order flow business 47 of that revenue is from options. Trading 32 is from regular stock trading and then the rest is from cryptocurrency, so all of that is 75 of robinhood’s total revenue, then from there. Another 18 is from interest payments from these novice investors, trading on margin and then the last seven percent of their revenue is from robin hood selling their gold subscription service.

So there you go warren, that is the breakdown of how robinhood makes money and how their business works. So, overall, what do i think is robinhood a stock that might end up on my watch list. Honestly, i can’t say that it will, as you can probably tell, i do, have a bit of a problem with their business model. I mean i like that they are trying to offer a service that enables everyday joes to invest, but i also think they do it. In quite a dangerous way, for example, offering access to options, trading or margin accounts when they know and publish that over 50 of their users are brand new to investing and the thing is they make roughly 35 of their revenue from people trading options 18 of their Revenue comes from people, opening margin accounts, so there’s an incentive there for them to continue pushing that side of their business, which i think is dangerous for new investors without that understanding or experience, but beyond the business model. Unfortunately, i think there’s just too little financial information to make a proper decision. From i mean robinhood was only founded in 2013, so there’s not a long history anyway. Yes, they’ve done very well to get to where they are today, but in the s1, we’ve really only got two years of data for most metrics, which just isn’t enough to be able to stick. You know confidently, stick a future growth rate on this business.

I mean it would be practically impossible to accurately value this company beyond that it’s, a business that has really only just started making money and that may change over the next few years. With expansion they may be profitable some years, then in the red during other years. They may raise more money in the future which might dilute shareholders it’s just it’s very difficult to model. How this thing is going to play out and warren buffett’s rule number one of investing is don’t lose money. So, if you’re not sure that you can follow that rule it’s best to just put it aside, move on to the next one and honestly that’s, why i personally don’t buy any ipos, obviously not saying that you guys can’t or shouldn’t. Ultimately, your money do what you like with it but that’s my reasoning as to why i’m personally staying away issues with the business model and a lack of clarity as to their future growth and future cash flows anyway, guys that will do us for today they are My thoughts on robin hood’s upcoming ipo and their s1 filing – i hope you got something out of this video. I hope. Maybe it helped you understand, really how their business model works and how they make money it’s a little bit tricky to understand, but i hope i’ve done an okay job at explaining it. If you did find it interesting or useful, then please leave a like on the video.

It is the easiest way to support the video in the youtube algorithm. So i really appreciate it uh if you would like to stick around feel free to subscribe to the channel. If you want to see more videos similar to this talking about stock market investing, but that will just about do us for today guys. Thank you very much for watching uh. If you wanted to see how i go about my investing the warren buffett strategy, you can check out the links down in the description uh that will take you over to profitful, which is the business that i started. I’Ve got two in depth courses, one about passive, investing one about active, investing that’s in in the description. If you would be interested in checking that out, but i think that just about does it for today guys. Thank you very much for watching and i’ll see you guys in the next video, hey guys, thanks for watching the video and thanks to hyper charts for sponsoring this video. If you’re a stock market investor – and you are not using hyper charts, i would seriously recommend you check them out. Essentially what hypercharts does is. It takes all those nitty gritty numbers out of the company’s financial statements, and it puts it into really nice easy to understand. Charts and they do that quarter after quarter after quarter year after year after year, now that’s just for free, but if you wanted to upgrade to a premium subscription, you get a whole host of other features.

For example, you can compare two companies on the same page. You get access to historical price charts, but, interestingly, you also get any company. You want their earnings sent to your email address and you can even sync your calendar with the earnings calendar, so lots of cool stuff going on with premium. If you did want to check it out, use the referral code, new money, that’s all one word or simply click the referral link down in the description for you to get 10 off of your first year. So definitely at least check it out. There’S lots of stuff on there for free it’s a website. I definitely think that all of us stock market investors should be using to identify trends in the companies we like, and thanks very much to hypercharts for reaching out and agreeing to sponsor some of this content.

What do you think?

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